Weekly Review and Outlook: Dollar Index Pressing Head and Shoulder Bottom Neckline as Risk …
Dollar strengthened across the board last week as risk aversion dominated the markets on a serious of bad news from Europe, including poor bond auctions, surging yields and downgrades. DOW, FTSE and DAX all suffered sharp selloff and the developments turned near term outlook bearish and raised the prospect of new 2011 low before the year closes. A few weeks ago, we talked about the remote possibility of head and shoulder bottom formation in the dollar index and the index is now pressing the neckline resistance. Among the major currencies, Aussie was the weakest on deteriorating economy outlook in China. But Euro was taking up the weakest spot towards the end of the week.
Germany’s bond auction was the highlight of the week. The German government managed to sell just of EUR 3.644b of 10 year bunds today, way short of it’s maximum target of EUR 6b. Markets saw as a deep mistrust of Euro, which was even manifested in weak demand for German bunds. Spain Treasury sold EUR 2.978 of three- and six-month bills at sharply higher yields.
